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Water, Vegetation, & Society

Understanding the couplings between surface hydrology, vegetation dynamics, and ecosystem processes in drylands.

Bren School |Dept. of Geography |Earth Research Institute |UCSB

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Estimating whole-tree sap flow in buttressed and irregular trunks

Michael W. Burnett, Rayna Ruggeri et al. (2026) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

Recent publication

Is population growth a threat to agriculture? Perceptions in rural Kenya

S. Lopus, Zack Guido et al. (2026) Population and environment

Perceptions of population growth and its potential threats to water security could prompt sustainability actions such as infrastructural improvements, use of water-saving technologies, and limits on water access. However, little is known about perceptions of population dynamics, including in rural areas of low-income countries. We surveyed around 500 smallholding farmers in a largely rain-fed region of Central Kenya, finding that virtually all respondents (96%) perceive population growth in their area, and the majority (57%) view localized population growth as a threat to their agricultural livelihoods. Although respondents in faster-growing areas were more likely to perceive population growth, localized demographic conditions were not associated with the likelihood of viewing population growth as a threat to agriculture. Respondents with high population threat perceptions commonly expressed concerns about land – not water – shortages, suggesting that population threat perceptions may not prompt water-conscious climate resilience in the way we had hypothesized. This study represents a useful step toward better understanding how population perceptions could shape population-responsive environmental policy in a growing region.

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