All Publications
Peer-reviewed publications (journal articles and conference papers) organized by year.
20261 publication
Is population growth a threat to agriculture? Perceptions in rural Kenya
S. Lopus, Zack Guido, Kurt B. Waldman, Drew Gower, Andrew Zimmer, Kelly Caylor, Tom Evans
Population and environment
20251 publication
Five Lessons for Closing the Last Mile: How to Make Climate Decision Support Actionable
K. Baylis, E. C. Lentz, Kelly Caylor, M. Gu, C. Gunderson, T. Haigh, M. Hayes, H. Lahr, D. Maxwell, C. Funk
Earth's Future
20233 publications
Potential impacts of transportation infrastructure improvements to maize and cassava supply chains in Zambia
Junren Wang, M. Konar, Kathy Baylis, Lyndon D. Estes, Protensia Hadunka, S. Xiong, K. Caylor
Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability
How much control do smallholder maize farmers have over yield?
Michael Cecil, Allan Chilenga, Charles Bwalya Chisanga, N. Gatti, N. Krell, N. Vergopolan, Kathy Baylis, Kelly Caylor, Tom Evans, M. Konar, J. Sheffield, L. Estes
Field Crops Research
Smallholder social networks: Advice seeking and adaptation in rural Kenya
S. Giroux, Patrick Kaminski, Kurt B. Waldman, Jordan P. Blekking, Tom Evans, Kelly Caylor
Agricultural Systems
20222 publications
High Resolution, Annual Maps of Field Boundaries for Smallholder-Dominated Croplands at National Scales
L. Estes, Su Ye, Lei Song, B. Luo, J. R. Eastman, Zhen-zhi Meng, Qi Zhang, D. McRitchie, Stephanie Debats, J. Muhando, Amukoa, Brian W. Kaloo, Jackson Makuru, Ben K. Mbatia, Isaac M. Muasa, Július, Mucha, Adelide M. Mugami, J. Mugami, Francis W. Muinde, Mwawaza, Jeff Ochieng, Charles J. Oduol, Purent Oduor, Thuo Wanjiku, Wanyoike, Ryan Avery, Kelly Caylor
Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence
Using real-time mobile phone data to characterize the relationships between small-scale farmers’ planting dates and socio-environmental factors
N. Krell, F. Davenport, L. Harrison, W. Turner, S. Peterson, S. Shukla, Jessica Marter-Kenyon, G. Husak, Tom Evans, Kelly Caylor
Climate Risk Management
20214 publications
Mapping global inputs and impacts from of human sewage in coastal ecosystems
Cascade Tuholske, B. Halpern, Gordon D. Blasco, Juan Carlos Villasenor, Melanie Frazier, Kelly Caylor
PLoS One
Global urban population exposure to extreme heat
Cascade Tuholske, Kelly Caylor, C. Funk, A. Verdin, S. Sweeney, K. Grace, P. Peterson, Tom Evans
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Consequences of dryland maize planting decisions under increased seasonal rainfall variability
N. Krell, B. Morgan, D. Gower, Kelly Caylor
Water Resources Research
Perceived links between climate change and weather forecast accuracy: new barriers to tools for agricultural decision-making
Z. Guido, S. Lopus, Kurt B. Waldman, C. Hannah, Andrew Zimmer, N. Krell, Chris Knudson, L. Estes, Kelly Caylor, Tom Evans
Climatic Change
20207 publications
Comparing measures of urban food security in Accra, Ghana
Cascade Tuholske, K. Andam, Jordan P. Blekking, Tom Evans, Kelly Caylor
Food Security
Dynamics of population growth in secondary cities across southern Africa.
Andrew Zimmer, Z. Guido, Cascade Tuholske, Alex Pakalniskis, S. Lopus, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Landscape Ecology
Farmer Forecasts: Impacts of Seasonal Rainfall Expectations on Agricultural Decision- Making in Sub-Saharan Africa
Z. Guido, Andrew Zimmer, S. Lopus, C. Hannah, Drew Gower, Kurt B. Waldman, N. Krell, J. Sheffield, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Climate Risk Management
Has the vision of a gender quota rule been realized for community-based water management committees in Kenya?
C. Hannah, S. Giroux, N. Krell, S. Lopus, Laura E. McCann, Andrew Zimmer, Kelly Caylor, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
World Development
A high-frequency mobile phone data collection approach for research in social-environmental systems: Applications in climate variability and food security in sub-Saharan Africa
S. Giroux, Inna Kouper, L. Estes, Jacob Schumacher, Kurt B. Waldman, J. Greenshields, Stephanie L. Dickinson, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Environmental Modelling & Software
Smallholder farmers' use of mobile phone services in central Kenya
N. Krell, S. Giroux, Z. Guido, C. Hannah, S. Lopus, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Climate and Development
Environmental heterogeneity and commodity sharing in smallholder agroecosystems
S. Giroux, P. McCord, S. Lopus, Drew Gower, J. Dell’Angelo, Stephanie L. Dickinson, Xiwei Chen, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
PLoS One
20194 publications
Adaptive Governance and Market Heterogeneity: An Institutional Analysis of an Urban Food System in Sub-Saharan Africa
Jordan P. Blekking, Cascade Tuholske, T. Evans
Food Security
Variability in urban population distributions across Africas
Cascade Tuholske, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans, R. Avery
Environmental Research Letters
The salience of climate change in farmer decision-making within smallholder semi-arid agroecosystems
Kurt B. Waldman, S. Attari, Drew Gower, S. Giroux, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Climatic Change
Cognitive Biases about Climate Variability in Smallholder Farming Systems in Zambia
Kurt B. Waldman, N. Vergopolan, S. Attari, J. Sheffield, L. Estes, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Weather, Climate & Society
20183 publications
A Convolutional Neural Network Approach to Segmenting Smallholder Agriculture
Ryan Avery, Kelly K. Caylor, L. Estes, R. Eastman, Su Ye, L. Song, K. Zhang, S. Xiong, D. McRitchie, T. Woodard
Comparing empirical and survey-based yield forecasts in a dryland agro-ecosystem
Yi Zhao, N. Vergopolan, K. Baylis, Jordan P. Blekking, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans, S. Giroux, J. Sheffield, L. Estes
Agricultural & Forest Meteorology
Accelerating forest loss in Southeast Asian Massif in the 21st century: A case study in Nan Province, Thailand
Zhenzhong Zeng, Drew Gower, E. Wood
Global Change Biology
20175 publications
Drivers of farmer satisfaction with small-scale irrigation systems
S. Lopus, P. McCord, Drew Gower, T. Evans
Applied Geography
A Large-Area, Spatially Continuous Assessment of Land Cover Map Error and Its Impact on Downstream Analyses
L. Estes, Peng Chen, Stephanie Debats, Tom Evans, Stefanus Ferreira, T. Kuemmerle, G. Ragazzo, J. Sheffield, A. Wolf, E. Wood, Kelly Caylor
Global Change Biology
A platform for crowdsourcing the creation of representative, accurate landcover maps
L. Estes, D. McRitchie, Jonghyun Choi, Stephanie Debats, T. Evans, W. Guthe, D. Luo, G. Ragazzo, R. Zempleni, Kelly Caylor
Environmental Modelling & Software
Thirty years of land use/cover change in the Caribbean: Assessing the relationship between urbanization and mangrove loss in Roatán, Honduras
Cascade Tuholske, Z. Tane, D. López‐Carr, D. Roberts, Susan Cassels
Applied Geography
Household-level heterogeneity of water resources within common-pool resource systems
P. McCord, J. Dell’Angelo, Drew Gower, Kelly Caylor, T. Evans
Ecology & Society
20161 publication
Reconciling agriculture, carbon and biodiversity in a savannah transformation frontier
L. Estes, T. Searchinger, M. Spiegel, D. Tian, S. Sichinga, M. Mwale, L. Kehoe, T. Kuemmerle, A. Berven, N. Chaney, J. Sheffield, E. Wood, Kelly Caylor
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B - Biological Sciences
20151 publication
High Carbon and Biodiversity Costs from Converting Africa’s Wet Savannas to Cropland
T. Searchinger, L. Estes, P. Thornton, T. Beringer, A. Notenbaert, D. Rubenstein, R. Heimlich, R. Licker, M. Herrero
Nature Climate Change
20142 publications
Using Changes in Agricultural Utility to Quantify Future Climate-Induced Risk to Conservation
L. Estes, Lydie-Line Paroz, B. Bradley, Jonathan M. H. Green, D. Hole, S. Holness, G. Ziv, M. Oppenheimer, D. Wilcove
Conservation Biology
Virtual water trade and development in Africa
M. Konar, Kelly Caylor
Hydrology and Earth System Science
20131 publication
Projected climate impacts to South African maize and wheat production in 2055: A comparison of empirical and mechanistic modeling approaches
L. Estes, H. Beukes, B. Bradley, Stephanie Debats, M. Oppenheimer, A. Ruane, R. Schulze, M. Tadross
Global Change Biology
20121 publication
Reframing hydrology education to solve coupled human and environmental problems
Lizzie King, F. apos, Frances Odonnell, Kelly Caylor
Hydrology and Earth System Science
20031 publication
Release of gaseous and particulate carbonaceous compounds from biomass burning during the SAFARI 2000 dry season field campagin
C. Hély, Kelly Caylor, S. Alleaume, R. Swap, H. Shugart
Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres
Explore Our Research
Interested in learning more about our research methods, collaborations, or latest findings? Connect with us to discuss potential research opportunities.